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@one_snowball
Jun 29, 2026, 04:06 AM
The Cost-Benefit Analysis in the Stock Market: Seeing Through Reality
Recently, I've noticed an interesting phenomenon. Some people tend to be overly confident in things they're familiar with, while holding prejudices against things they're not. This is particularly common in the stock market. Many people have fixed ways of thinking, believing that certain stocks will always rise while others will always fall. However, reality often defies our expectations.
For example, Xiaomi's stock was seen as a good opportunity to short-sell Haili. But in reality, Xiaomi's stock has performed well recently. On the other hand, Hengrui's stock was seen as a good opportunity to short-sell ByteDance, but in reality, Hengrui's stock has not performed well. Moutai's stock was seen as a good opportunity to long-resident disposable income, but in reality, Moutai's stock has performed averagely recently. Alibaba's stock was seen as a good opportunity to short-sell Hanwuji, but in reality, Alibaba's stock has performed well.
These examples tell us that there is no absolute right or wrong in the stock market. We must always be cautious and objective, not being swayed by our own biases. Only then can we see through reality and make correct investment decisions.




